Financial Sense Blog

Navigating Financial Bubbles: Considerations for Today's Investors

Mar 14, 2024 – In recent years, AI stocks in particular have captivated the attention of investors all over the world, suggesting a bubble that could parallel previous episodes in financial history. Though valuations are...

Growth Slowdown But No Recession as Consumer Picture Remains Positive

Mar 11, 2024 – The US consumer will continue to provide support to the economy this year (see charts) and help to prevent an ongoing contraction in the manufacturing sector from developing into a broader recession. However, US GDP...

State-Level Data Shows Unemployment Spike Across the US

Mar 4, 2024 – The US economy is in the midst of a “reflationary acceleration” with the S&P 500, Dow, and Nasdaq all sitting at or near record highs. Today we explore a few key charts and trends that are likely to play a significant role...

Stocks Likely to "Take Five"

Mar 4, 2024 – In this article I look at the conditions that often lead me to begin rebalancing portfolios such as overbought and diverging momentum, heavy call investing by small investors, defensive sectors on the rise, and waning breadth...

Leading Indicators for Inflation Picking Back Up

Feb 27, 2024 – Last month's inflation report came in hotter than expected. Though some are dismissing this as statistical noise, several leading indicators for inflation are pointing to a potential acceleration for commodities and overall inflation...

The Next Big Arms Race Is Quantum

Feb 21, 2024 – With precision sensing applications establishing the first beachheads, quantum technologies have reached operational reality. Promising disruptions across industries and intensifying geopolitical competition...

Plan Now for Higher RMDs and Medicare Premiums in 2024

Feb 16, 2024 – As financial markets continued their impressive run throughout 2023, retirees with IRAs and 401(k)s are facing higher required minimum distributions (RMDs) in 2024. The record-setting market performance of 2023...

A Hard Look at a Soft Landing

Feb 5, 2024 – In this article, I’ll cover some of the key stories of 2023 and then focus on the likelihood of a soft landing for the economy with a look at monetary policy, economic growth, the earnings outlook, and geopolitical risks...

One Call to Rule Them All

Jan 19, 2024 – Our belief is that there will primarily be one call to get correct—one call to rule them all—and that is whether the US economy has a hard landing (recession) or soft one. Getting this call right can set the tone for everything else as...

Testing the Consensus and the Goldilocks Seven

Jan 12, 2024 – Throughout history, we’ve seen numerous instances where capital heavily concentrates into a single company or a small cluster of stocks, such as the Nifty 50 growth stocks in the 1970s or the tech sector in the late 1990s. Often, such herding...

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